SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
60.63% ( 0.32) | 19.79% ( -0.04) | 19.58% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 62.18% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.37% ( -0.28) | 33.63% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.55% ( -0.32) | 55.45% ( 0.33) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.17% | 10.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.1% ( -0) | 34.9% ( 0.01) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( -0.44) | 30.27% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.55% ( -0.53) | 66.45% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 60.63% | 1-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.79% | 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 19.58% |
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