Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
