SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | De Graafschap |
46.52% ( -0.06) | 22.38% ( 0.02) | 31.11% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 65.68% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.41% ( -0.09) | 34.59% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.47% ( -0.11) | 56.53% ( 0.1) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.58% ( -0.06) | 15.42% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.75% ( -0.11) | 44.25% ( 0.1) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.65% ( -0.02) | 22.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.17% ( -0.04) | 55.83% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 46.52% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 31.11% |
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