SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Emmen |
36.06% ( -0.09) | 24.27% ( -0.01) | 39.67% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 60.36% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.74% ( 0.02) | 42.26% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.34% ( 0.02) | 64.67% ( -0.02) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( -0.04) | 23.22% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.88% ( -0.06) | 57.12% ( 0.06) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% ( 0.05) | 21.39% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.63% ( 0.08) | 54.38% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 36.06% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 39.67% |
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