SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
50.48% ( 0.12) | 21.67% ( -0.01) | 27.85% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 66% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.77% ( -0.03) | 33.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.02% ( -0.03) | 54.98% ( 0.03) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.41% ( 0.03) | 13.58% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.3% ( 0.06) | 40.7% ( -0.06) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( -0.09) | 23.62% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.29% ( -0.12) | 57.71% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.48% | 1-1 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 27.85% |
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