Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.
Result | ||
MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
50.48% (![]() | 21.67% (![]() | 27.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.77% (![]() | 33.22% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.02% (![]() | 54.98% (![]() |
MVV Maastricht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.41% (![]() | 13.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.3% (![]() | 40.7% (![]() |
Jong Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% (![]() | 23.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.29% (![]() | 57.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
2-1 @ 9.23% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.48% | 1-1 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 6.66% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.13% ( ![]() Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 6.67% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.88% Total : 27.85% |
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