SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
39.85% ( 1.14) | 26.56% ( -0.07) | 33.59% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.01% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.16% ( 0.13) | 52.83% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.54% ( 0.11) | 74.45% ( -0.11) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( 0.68) | 26.01% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.96% ( 0.91) | 61.03% ( -0.91) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% ( -0.61) | 29.7% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.24% ( -0.75) | 65.76% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.85% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.59% |
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