SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | NAC Breda |
40.25% ( -0.21) | 25.8% ( -0.01) | 33.94% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 54.56% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( 0.09) | 49.6% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( 0.08) | 71.62% ( -0.08) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% ( -0.07) | 24.32% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% ( -0.09) | 58.71% ( 0.09) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( 0.18) | 27.89% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.49% ( 0.23) | 63.5% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.94% |
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