SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 54.46%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Den Bosch |
54.46% ( -0.47) | 22.42% ( 0.14) | 23.12% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 58.14% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.64% ( -0.26) | 41.35% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.25% ( -0.26) | 63.75% ( 0.26) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.86% ( -0.25) | 15.14% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.27% ( -0.46) | 43.72% ( 0.46) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.51% ( 0.14) | 31.49% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.13% ( 0.17) | 67.87% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.88% Total : 54.46% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.69% Total : 23.12% |
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