Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Jong AZ
62.87%	19.82%	17.31%

Both teams to score 57.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.34%

37.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.1%

59.9%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.56%

11.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.75%

36.26%

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.95%

35.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.2%

71.8%

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 62.87%

Jong AZ 17.31%

Draw 19.82%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Jong AZ
2-1 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 9.43% 1-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 7.14% 3-0 @ 6.81% 4-1 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 3.74% 4-0 @ 3.69% 4-2 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.68% 5-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.31% Total : 62.87%	1-1 @ 9.12% 2-2 @ 5.18% 0-0 @ 4.01% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.82%	1-2 @ 4.78% 0-1 @ 4.21% 0-2 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.64% Total : 17.31%