SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for De Graafschap in this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Helmond Sport |
62.88% ( 0.16) | 20.8% ( 0) | 16.32% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.9% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% ( -0.31) | 44% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.61% ( -0.3) | 66.39% ( 0.3) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.62% ( -0.05) | 13.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.71% ( -0.1) | 40.29% ( 0.1) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.91% ( -0.39) | 40.09% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.27% ( -0.36) | 76.73% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 62.87% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.8% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.32% |
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