SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | NAC Breda |
27.08% ( 0.78) | 22.53% ( -0.04) | 50.39% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 62.14% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.99% ( 0.86) | 38.01% ( -0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.73% ( 0.91) | 60.27% ( -0.91) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% ( 1.01) | 26.61% ( -1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.16% ( 1.32) | 61.84% ( -1.32) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% ( 0.06) | 15.33% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.92% ( 0.11) | 44.08% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.2% Total : 27.08% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.94% Total : 50.39% |
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