SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
34.67% ( 0.08) | 25.45% ( -0.03) | 39.88% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.93% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.09% ( 0.14) | 47.91% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.91% ( 0.13) | 70.09% ( -0.12) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( 0.12) | 26.64% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.12% ( 0.15) | 61.88% ( -0.15) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( 0.04) | 23.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.08% ( 0.05) | 57.92% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.67% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.88% |
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