SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Bournemouth |
43.83% ( -0.05) | 25.55% ( -0.01) | 30.62% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.18% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.45% ( 0.03) | 49.55% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.42% ( 0.03) | 71.58% ( -0.03) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( -0.01) | 22.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.88% ( -0.02) | 56.12% ( 0.02) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( 0.05) | 30.04% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.82% ( 0.06) | 66.17% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.62% |
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