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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 31, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Molineux
MU

Wolves
0 - 1
Man Utd


Semedo (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rashford (76')
Casemiro (57'), Fred (72'), Rashford (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawManchester United
31.7% (-0.379 -0.38) 25.52% (0.023 0.02) 42.78% (0.353 0.35)
Both teams to score 54.77% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.99% (-0.235 -0.23)49.01% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.91% (-0.214 -0.21)71.09% (0.211 0.21)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (-0.366 -0.37)29.04% (0.362 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05% (-0.454 -0.45)64.95% (0.45099999999999 0.45)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (0.064999999999998 0.06)22.81% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.48% (0.099999999999994 0.1)56.52% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 31.7%
    Manchester United 42.78%
    Draw 25.52%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawManchester United
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 31.7%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.063 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.24% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.41% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.57% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 42.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Everton 1-2 Wolves
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Cadiz 3-4 Wolves
Wednesday, December 14 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wolves 0-2 Arsenal
Saturday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Leeds
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Wolves 2-3 Brighton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, December 27 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Burnley
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Betis 1-0 Man Utd
Saturday, December 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cadiz 4-2 Man Utd
Wednesday, December 7 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Fulham 1-2 Man Utd
Sunday, November 13 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 4-2 Aston Villa
Thursday, November 10 at 8pm in EFL Cup


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