SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.44%) and 0-1 (6.32%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
27.03% ( -17.46) | 21.4% ( -0.31) | 51.56% ( 17.77) |
| Both teams to score 66.28% ( -3.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.44% ( -2.5) | 32.56% ( 2.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.78% ( -2.95) | 54.22% ( 2.95) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.2% ( -9.41) | 23.8% ( 9.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.03% ( -15.68) | 57.97% ( 15.68) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.98% ( 5.75) | 13.02% ( -5.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.44% ( 10.6) | 39.56% ( -10.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.51% ( -1.98) 1-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.79)2-0 @ 3.19% ( -1.88)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -1.42)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -2.37)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -1.75)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -1.09)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -1.54)Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.03% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.47)0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.4)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.4)Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.4% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 1.92) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( 2.66)0-1 @ 6.32% ( 1.8)1-3 @ 6.28% ( 2.2)2-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.55)0-3 @ 4.38% ( 2.27)1-4 @ 3.2% ( 1.49)2-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.64)0-4 @ 2.23% ( 1.35)1-5 @ 1.31% ( 0.73)3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.38)0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.62)Other @ 2.4% Total : 51.56% |
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