SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 70.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | FC Utrecht |
12.11% ( 0.04) | 17.49% ( 0.03) | 70.39% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.01% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.85% ( -0.01) | 38.15% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.58% ( -0.01) | 60.42% ( 0.01) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.59% ( 0.07) | 42.41% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.21% ( 0.06) | 78.79% ( -0.06) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.31% ( -0.02) | 9.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.7% ( -0.05) | 32.29% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 12.11% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.49% | 0-2 @ 11.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0)0-3 @ 8.71% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.47% ( -0)0-4 @ 5.08% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0)0-5 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.04% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.87% ( 0)0-6 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.97% Total : 70.39% |
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