SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 72.56%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 10.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Heracles |
72.56% ( -0.05) | 16.45% ( 0.02) | 10.99% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.03% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.79% ( -0.03) | 36.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.67% ( -0.04) | 58.33% ( 0.04) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.31% ( -0.02) | 8.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.09% ( -0.05) | 29.91% ( 0.05) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.98% ( 0.03) | 43.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.69% ( 0.02) | 79.31% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.66% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.29% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 72.55% | 1-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.45% | 1-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.24% Total : 10.99% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
