SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
19.79% ( 0.09) | 21.7% ( 0.13) | 58.5% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 55.65% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.66% ( -0.46) | 42.33% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.26% ( -0.46) | 64.74% ( 0.46) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( -0.17) | 35.16% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.08% ( -0.18) | 71.91% ( 0.18) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.82% ( -0.23) | 14.17% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.14% ( -0.44) | 41.86% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.79% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.48% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 58.51% |
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