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Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion
H

AZ
3 - 0
Heerenveen

Pavlidis (11', 59', 76')
Bazoer (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brouwers (11')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Heerenveen

Nothing looks likely to stop AZ in their current form, and this should be another routine success before looking ahead to the visit of Aston Villa. Despite ending their five-game losing run before the break, Heerenveen are unlikely to spring a big surprise and could well slip further down the table come the end of the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 73.34%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
73.34% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01) 16.02% (0.0040000000000013 0) 10.64% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 52.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)35.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)8.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.85% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.07% (0.010999999999996 0.01)42.93% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.77% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)79.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 73.33%
    Heerenveen 10.64%
    Draw 16.02%
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
2-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 9.17% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.75%
4-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 2.04%
6-0 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.02%
6-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 73.33%
1-1 @ 7.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 3.55%
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.02%
1-2 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3%
0-2 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 10.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ajax 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Legia
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: AZ 4-0 Sittard
Sunday, October 1 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-1 Heracles
Thursday, September 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-3 AZ
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 4-3 AZ
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-3 Excelsior
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 6-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, September 16 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-2 Heerenveen
Saturday, September 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-3 Sparta
Sunday, August 27 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie


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