SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 73.34%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heerenveen |
73.34% ( -0.01) | 16.02% ( 0) | 10.64% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.36% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.85% ( 0) | 35.15% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.84% ( 0) | 57.16% ( -0) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.74% ( -0) | 8.26% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.15% ( -0) | 28.85% ( 0) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.07% ( 0.01) | 42.93% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.77% ( 0.01) | 79.23% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0)3-0 @ 9.17% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.75% 4-0 @ 5.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.85% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 2.04% 6-0 @ 1.19% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.02% 6-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.9% Total : 73.33% | 1-1 @ 7.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.55% 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.02% | 1-2 @ 3.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3% 0-2 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 10.64% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
