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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.53%) and 0-1 (4.95%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
33.82% ( 0.3) | 21.45% ( -0.08) | 44.73% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 70.59% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.27% ( 0.54) | 28.72% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.36% ( 0.66) | 49.64% ( -0.66) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.88% ( 0.4) | 18.12% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.92% ( 0.67) | 49.07% ( -0.67) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.21% ( 0.14) | 13.79% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.89% ( 0.27) | 41.11% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.78% Total : 33.82% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.97% Total : 44.73% |
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