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Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
AA

Sparta
1 - 1
AZ

FT(HT: 0-1)
Sugawara (25')
Clasie (38'), Belic (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Sparta
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Ajax
Sunday, February 25 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

Sparta have struggled for goals of late, but we can see them finding the back of the net here. That said, we are backing AZ Alkmaar to come away with maximum points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawAZ Alkmaar
32.15% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1) 24.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 43.28% (0.115 0.12)
Both teams to score 58.22% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4% (0.050000000000004 0.05)44.6% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03% (0.048999999999999 0.05)66.97% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)26.58% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)61.8% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (0.070999999999998 0.07)20.7% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69% (0.115 0.12)53.31% (-0.12 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 32.15%
    AZ Alkmaar 43.28%
    Draw 24.56%
Sparta RotterdamDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.15%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.82% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.75% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.58% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 43.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Sparta
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 4-2 Excelsior
Saturday, February 17 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 Sparta
Sunday, February 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 0-2 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, February 4 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Sparta
Saturday, January 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, January 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Ajax
Sunday, February 25 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-2 AZ
Saturday, February 17 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-0 AZ
Saturday, February 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 AZ
Wednesday, February 7 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: AZ 0-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, February 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-2 AZ
Sunday, January 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie


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