This tie has an open feel to it and we feel that both fixtures should prove to be entertaining. On Thursday, however, home advantage could prove key for Leicester, who we think will run out victors by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 38.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (5.25%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
38.16%	23.46%	38.38%

Both teams to score 63.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.85%

38.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.58%

60.42%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.68%

20.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.3%

52.69%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.78%

20.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.47%

52.53%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 38.16%

PSV Eindhoven 38.38%

Draw 23.45%

Leicester City	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.34% 1-0 @ 6.55% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.04% Total : 38.16%	1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.67% 0-0 @ 4.11% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 8.37% 0-1 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 4.46% 2-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.07% Total : 38.38%