The onus is more on AZ Alkmaar to take control of proceedings and get the job done in front of their fans. We fancy them to carry the day at the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Vitesse win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Vitesse
60.99%	22.09%	16.92%

Both teams to score 49.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.52%

48.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.39%

70.61%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.58%

15.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.75%

44.26%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.98%

42.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.54%

78.46%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 60.98%

Vitesse 16.92%

Draw 22.09%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Vitesse
1-0 @ 12.11% 2-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 6.12% 4-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.23% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.98%	1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.09%	0-1 @ 5.62% 1-2 @ 4.55% 0-2 @ 2.44% 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.92%