Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 0-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
19.08% (![]() | 19.9% (![]() | 61.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.04% (![]() | 34.96% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.06% (![]() | 56.94% (![]() |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.46% (![]() | 31.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.06% (![]() | 67.94% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.87% (![]() | 11.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.44% (![]() | 35.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.13% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.43% Total : 19.08% | 1-1 @ 8.89% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.9% | 1-2 @ 9.76% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 7.71% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.12% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.83% Total : 61.02% |
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