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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.61%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 11.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-3 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a Willem II win it was 2-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
11.6% ( -0.5) | 15.78% ( -0.2) | 72.61% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.04% ( -0.43) | 30.96% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.66% ( -0.51) | 52.34% ( 0.51) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.67% ( -1.09) | 38.33% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.91% ( -1.06) | 75.09% ( 1.06) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.59% ( 0.03) | 7.41% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.31% ( 0.09) | 26.68% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.68% Total : 11.61% | 1-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.21% Total : 15.78% | 0-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 8.34% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 8% ( -0)0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 5.43% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 2.83% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.07)2-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)0-6 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)1-6 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.83% Total : 72.61% |
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