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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Almere City |
60.38% ( -1.34) | 21.51% ( 0.47) | 18.11% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 53.21% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.91% ( -0.59) | 44.09% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% ( -0.58) | 66.47% ( 0.59) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.84% ( -0.6) | 14.16% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.16% ( -1.19) | 41.84% ( 1.19) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.99% ( 0.67) | 38.01% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.22% ( 0.64) | 74.77% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Almere City |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.83% Total : 60.38% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.5% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.32% Total : 18.11% |
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