SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heerenveen |
25.38% ( 0.06) | 22.84% ( -0.02) | 51.77% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.31% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59% ( 0.14) | 41% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.61% ( 0.14) | 63.39% ( -0.15) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% ( 0.12) | 29.45% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.55% ( 0.15) | 65.45% ( -0.15) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.07% ( 0.03) | 15.93% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.8% ( 0.07) | 45.2% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.51% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 25.38% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 51.77% |
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