These two sides come into this match with the same points tally and identical records this season. The last two competitive matches between them also ended level and we feel there will be nothing to split them on the scoreline in this one either.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 77.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 7.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 3-0 (11.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.05) 
0.02) 
