SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
70.75% ( -0.22) | 16.6% ( 0.11) | 12.65% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.77% ( -0.21) | 32.23% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.17% ( -0.25) | 53.83% ( 0.26) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.9% ( -0.09) | 8.09% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.56% ( -0.25) | 28.44% ( 0.25) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.4% ( 0.03) | 37.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.63% ( 0.03) | 74.37% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.47% Total : 70.75% | 1-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.6% | 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 12.65% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
