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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 83.4%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 5.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 4-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.83%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
83.4% ( -0.03) | 10.69% ( 0.01) | 5.91% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.95% ( -0) | 25.05% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.01% ( -0) | 44.98% ( 0) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.69% ( -0.01) | 4.31% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.14% ( -0.02) | 17.86% ( 0.02) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.81% ( 0.04) | 46.18% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.13% ( 0.03) | 81.86% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
| 3-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0)4-1 @ 6.26% 1-0 @ 6.26% ( -0)5-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0)6-0 @ 2.67% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.42% ( 0)6-1 @ 2.06% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)7-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 4.14% Total : 83.4% | 1-1 @ 4.83% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.94% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.93% Total : 10.69% | 1-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 5.91% |
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