SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 69.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Vitesse |
69.83% ( 0.06) | 17.53% ( -0.03) | 12.63% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.59% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.06% ( 0.07) | 36.94% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.87% ( 0.07) | 59.13% ( -0.07) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.5% ( 0.03) | 9.5% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.14% ( 0.07) | 31.86% ( -0.07) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.21% | 40.79% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.64% ( -0) | 77.36% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 69.83% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.53% | 1-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.29% 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 12.63% |
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