SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 63.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Lazio |
63.08% ( -0.33) | 20.39% ( 0.1) | 16.52% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.71% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.18% ( -0.01) | 41.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.78% ( -0.01) | 64.22% ( 0.01) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.36% ( -0.1) | 12.64% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.22% ( -0.2) | 38.78% ( 0.2) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.48% ( 0.28) | 38.51% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.73% ( 0.26) | 75.26% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 63.07% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.39% | 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.11% Total : 16.52% |
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