Vitesse have enjoyed the better of this fixture of late and are huge favourites to emerge victorious in this one. However, the home side are no pushovers on their own turf, so we are backing a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Vitesse
49.09%	24.94%	25.97%

Both teams to score 52.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.31%

49.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.3%

71.7%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73%

20.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.39%

52.61%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.39%

33.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.75%

70.25%

Score Analysis

Heracles 49.09%

Vitesse 25.97%

Draw 24.93%

Heracles	Draw	Vitesse
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-0 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.74% Total : 49.09%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.93%	0-1 @ 7.43% 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.97%