SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Magpies had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Magpies win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Magpies | Draw | Derry City |
20.13% ( 0.03) | 23.31% ( 0) | 56.56% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.96% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.16% ( 0.03) | 48.84% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.06% ( 0.03) | 70.94% ( -0.03) |
| Magpies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.44% ( 0.05) | 38.56% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.69% ( 0.05) | 75.3% ( -0.05) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( -0) | 17.06% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.77% | 47.23% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Magpies | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 6.27% 2-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 20.13% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.28% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.8% 0-3 @ 6.06% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.78% 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.68% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.95% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.94% Total : 56.55% |
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