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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
BL

Roma
1 - 0
Bologna

Mayoral (44')
Pedro (36'), Villar (75'), Pellegrini (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

De Silvestri (38'), Mihajlovic (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawBologna
58.84%20.96%20.21%
Both teams to score 58.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.7%38.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.42%60.59%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.24%12.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.96%39.05%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59%32.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07%68.94%
Score Analysis
    Roma 58.84%
    Bologna 20.21%
    Draw 20.96%
RomaDrawBologna
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 8.77%
1-0 @ 8.52%
3-1 @ 6.78%
3-0 @ 6.02%
3-2 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 3.49%
4-0 @ 3.1%
4-2 @ 1.96%
5-1 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 58.84%
1-1 @ 9.6%
2-2 @ 5.56%
0-0 @ 4.14%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.96%
1-2 @ 5.41%
0-1 @ 4.66%
0-2 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 20.21%

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