SM
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Azerbaijan |
55.69% ( 6.38) | 24.51% ( 0.74) | 19.8% ( -7.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.92% ( -10.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.04% ( -10.04) | 53.96% ( 10.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( -9.09) | 75.4% ( 9.1) |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.71% ( -1.36) | 19.29% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.97% ( -2.29) | 51.03% ( 2.29) |
| Azerbaijan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.13% ( -12.05) | 41.86% ( 12.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.68% ( -12.42) | 78.32% ( 12.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| North Macedonia | Draw | Azerbaijan |
| 1-0 @ 13.28% ( 4.09) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( 3.03)2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6% ( 1.48)3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.52)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -1.04)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.49)Other @ 2.89% Total : 55.67% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 2.73)2-2 @ 4.15% ( -1.64)Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -1.69)0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.85)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -1.25)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -1.13)Other @ 2% Total : 19.8% |
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