SM
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Malta had a probability of 12.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Malta |
67.06% ( 1.76) | 20.15% ( -0.41) | 12.79% ( -1.35) |
| Both teams to score 45.12% ( -2.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.61% ( -1.18) | 48.39% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.48% ( -1.09) | 70.52% ( 1.09) |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.5% ( 0.16) | 13.5% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.47% ( 0.32) | 40.53% ( -0.32) |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.16% ( -2.82) | 47.84% ( 2.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.89% ( -2.16) | 83.11% ( 2.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| North Macedonia | Draw | Malta |
| 2-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.76) 1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.7)2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.56)3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.23)5-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.56% Total : 67.06% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.36)Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.15% | 0-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.76% Total : 12.79% |
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