SM
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Belgium | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 4 | Wales | 4 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Wales had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 3-1 (6.64%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.
| Result | ||
| Belgium | Draw | Wales |
54.85% ( 0.11) | 20.88% ( -0.13) | 24.26% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.22% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.3% ( 0.65) | 32.7% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.62% ( 0.74) | 54.38% ( -0.75) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.9% ( 0.24) | 12.1% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.35% ( 0.51) | 37.65% ( -0.51) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( 0.37) | 25.81% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.23% ( 0.5) | 60.77% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgium | Draw | Wales |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 54.85% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.88% | 1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.26% |
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