SM
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Belgium | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Poland | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 4 | Wales | 5 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Poland had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Poland win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Poland |
38.98% ( -2.43) | 26.19% ( 0.35) | 34.83% ( 2.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.43% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( -1.04) | 51.13% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.03% ( -0.92) | 72.97% ( 0.92) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( -1.74) | 25.7% ( 1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.39% ( -2.43) | 60.61% ( 2.43) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( 0.81) | 28.09% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.25% ( 1.02) | 63.75% ( -1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wales | Draw | Poland |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.35)3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.49)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.83% |
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