A cautious contest is to be expected between two teams that know each other so well, having met in several big games and with many Swiss stars plying their trade on the Italian peninsula. Though they memorably won Euro 2020 by prevailing on spot-kicks at Wembley, Italy's propensity to falter from 12 yards looms large; if they can find a way past Gianluigi Donnarumma, then steely Switzerland could edge through to the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Switzerland has a probability of 35.97% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Switzerland win is 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.31%).

Result
Switzerland	Draw	Italy
35.97%	25.94%	38.09%

Both teams to score 54.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.09%

49.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.1%

71.9%

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18%

26.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88%

62.12%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.38%

25.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.49%

60.51%

Score Analysis

Switzerland 35.97%

Italy 38.09%

Draw 25.93%

Switzerland	Draw	Italy
1-0 @ 9.04% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.97%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.87% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 8.39% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.09%