Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.