Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for York City had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Chester FC	Draw	York City
45.98%	25.36%	28.66%

Both teams to score 53.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.31%

49.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.3%

71.7%

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.39%

21.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.29%

54.71%

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.48%

31.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.09%

67.91%

Score Analysis

Chester FC 45.98%

York City 28.66%

Draw 25.35%

Chester FC	Draw	York City
1-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.23% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.98%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 7.86% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.66%