Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for York City had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
