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League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
NC

Crawley
2 - 1
Newport

Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Nichols (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moriah-Welsh (79')
Bennett (47'), Norman (64'), Moriah-Welsh (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Newport County

Neither club has started their individual seasons brightly, and both will be searching for three points this weekend in a bid to start building some momentum. However, the fact that each team is low on confidence is something that could lead to cautious play, resulting in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
28.52% (-0.055 -0.05) 26.29% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 45.18% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.69% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45% (0.030000000000001 0.03)53.54% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (0.026 0.03)75.05% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)33.64% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.28% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (0.048000000000002 0.05)23.62% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (0.067 0.07)57.71% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 28.52%
    Newport County 45.18%
    Draw 26.29%
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.52%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 11.46%
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.27% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.98% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-0 Crawley
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-2 Crawley
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-2 Stockport
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Newport
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Newport
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Carlisle
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Newport 0-2 Barrow
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two


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