Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
-2.05) 
0.48) 
