Fresh from a postponed fixture on home soil, Accrington should have the legs to compete with an increasingly resilient Burton side and edge through to the fourth round. Though defeat would end Albion's unbeaten run, they still have a winnable FA Cup tie with Grimsby to look forward to early next year.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
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