SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
46.07% ( 0.04) | 24.26% ( -0.05) | 29.66% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( 0.23) | 44.35% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.27% ( 0.22) | 66.73% ( -0.22) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% ( 0.11) | 19.39% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.8% ( 0.18) | 51.2% ( -0.18) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.92% ( 0.12) | 28.08% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.26% ( 0.16) | 63.74% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.07% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.66% |
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