With both managers likely to tinker with their squads, this is an even more unpredictable fixture than it may have been with full-strength sides. While Reading will still be confident of registering yet another home win this campaign, we feel that a greater freedom for Watford to express themselves may lead to a narrow away victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.14) 
