SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.34%) and 0-1 (4.76%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| BG Pathum United | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
35.39% ( -0.22) | 21.47% ( -0.04) | 43.14% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 71.06% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.69% ( 0.16) | 28.31% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.87% ( 0.2) | 49.13% ( -0.2) |
| BG Pathum United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.79% ( -0.03) | 17.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.51% ( -0.05) | 47.49% ( 0.05) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.83% ( 0.16) | 14.17% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.14% ( 0.31) | 41.86% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| BG Pathum United | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 35.39% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 7.21% 3-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.47% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.72% Total : 43.14% |
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