SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.2%) and 1-0 (4.82%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Bayern Munich |
42.13% ( -0.02) | 21.61% ( -0) | 36.25% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 70.69% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.14% ( 0.02) | 28.86% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.19% ( 0.03) | 49.8% ( -0.02) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.25% ( 0) | 14.75% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.02% ( 0) | 42.97% ( 0.01) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( 0.02) | 17.08% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.74% ( 0.04) | 47.26% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0)1-0 @ 4.82% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 42.13% | 1-1 @ 8.52% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.52% ( -0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.25% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.88% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.2% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 36.25% |
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