SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Manchester City |
32.72% ( -1.01) | 23.2% ( 0.35) | 44.07% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 63.38% ( -1.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.07% ( -2.11) | 37.93% ( 2.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.81% ( -2.29) | 60.19% ( 2.29) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( -1.55) | 23.04% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.15% ( -2.33) | 56.85% ( 2.33) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( -0.58) | 17.65% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.74% ( -1.02) | 48.26% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.14% Total : 32.72% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.4)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.57)0-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 5.19% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.95% Total : 44.07% |
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